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2008 Presidential Punditology: January Winners

By None:

Here's the final results of the first round of the 2008 Presidential Punditology Challenge, which included all the primaries and caucuses in January.

Congratulations to our top punditologist, Jonathan Singer. Jonathan is a front-page blogger at MyDD.com and a law student at Boalt Hall. In 2006, he managed a legislative race in Oregon.

Jonathan scored 145 points, correctly picking the winners of every single primary and caucus. His only errors? Picking McCain 3rd in Iowa and Romney 2nd in South Carolina.

Second place goes to Jean Lloyd-Jones of Iowa City. Jean was the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Iowa in 1992 (losing a tough race to Chuck Grassley.) She scored 134 points, also correctly picking the winners of every single primary and caucus.

All hail Jonathan Singer and Jean Lloyd-Jones! They have the crystal balls that rule them all!

By way of honorable mentions, here are top 54 punditologists - the top 10% of participants:

1. Jonathan Singer, 145 pts
2. Jean Lloyd-Jones, 134 pts
3. Jake Mathai, 131 pts
4. Richard Luchette, 127 pts
4. Dave McTeague, 127 pts
6. Adam Bonin, 124 pts
7. Alec Oyhenart, 123 pts
8. Carol Imani, 122 pts
8. Adam Sharp, 122 pts
10. Robert Eisinger, 121 pts
11. Katie Eukel, 120 pts
11. Eric Adelstein, 120 pts
11. Michael Adam, 120 pts
11. Mike Yeomans, 120 pts
15. Dan Anderson, 119 pts
15. Bryan Bissell, 119 pts
17. Jack Roberts, 118 pts
17. Brain Coty, 118 pts
17. Josh Revesz, 118 pts
20. Brian Simmonds, 117 pts
20. Matt Feldman, 117 pts
20. Tim Crail, 117 pts
23. Jake Oken-Berg, 116 pts
23. Justin Schafer, 116 pts
23. Nathan Currie, 116 pts
26. John Turner, 115 pts
27. Joseph P. Boyle, 114 pts
28. David Nebel, 113 pts
28. Tom Wolf, 113 pts
28. Ben Cannon, 113 pts
28. Ellen Lowe, 113 pts
28. Bob Estabrook, 113 pts
33. Dan Kully, 112 pts
33. Bill Frick, 112 pts
35. Jesse Kanson-Benanav, 111 pts
35. Jay Mobley, 111 pts
35. Samantha Gaddy, 111 pts
38. Lori Lodes, 110 pts
38. Gary A Nord, 110 pts
40. Maren Giobbi, 109 pts
41. Terry Webber, 108 pts
42. Anne Martens, 107 pts
42. Kenneth I. Wirfel, 107 pts
42. Kylan Johnson, 107 pts
42. Howard Park, 107 pts
42. Adam McCall, 107 pts
42. Alex Tischenko, 107 pts
48. Adam Greenspan, 106 pts
48. Crystal Merritt, 106 pts
48. wade morris, 106 pts
48. Jonathan Stein, 106 pts
48. John Olszewski, Jr., 106 pts
48. Benjamin Gann, 106 pts
48. Jason Paul, 106 pts

We'll keep the names of the bottom 90% to ourselves. (If that's you, your secret is safe with us.)

A final word about our collective wisdom. Our collective picks scored 117 points - and were better than 96.2% of the individual punditologists.

Every single subgroup (bloggers, professors, journalists, activists, electeds, etc.) did worse -- except one: As a group, political consultants scored 123 points - and were better than 98.9% of us (and, by the way, better than all but two individual political consultants.)

So maybe there is something to this "wisdom of the crowd" business...

Posted on February 3, 2008 in
punditology.