2008 Presidential Punditology: January Winners
Here's the final results of the first round of the 2008 Presidential Punditology Challenge, which included all the primaries and caucuses in January.
Congratulations to our top punditologist, Jonathan Singer. Jonathan is a front-page blogger at MyDD.com and a law student at Boalt Hall. In 2006, he managed a legislative race in Oregon.
Jonathan scored 145 points, correctly picking the winners of every single primary and caucus. His only errors? Picking McCain 3rd in Iowa and Romney 2nd in South Carolina.
Second place goes to Jean Lloyd-Jones of Iowa City. Jean was the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Iowa in 1992 (losing a tough race to Chuck Grassley.) She scored 134 points, also correctly picking the winners of every single primary and caucus.
All hail Jonathan Singer and Jean Lloyd-Jones! They have the crystal balls that rule them all!
By way of honorable mentions, here are top 54 punditologists - the top 10% of participants:
1. Jonathan Singer, 145 pts
We'll keep the names of the bottom 90% to ourselves. (If that's you, your secret is safe with us.)
A final word about our collective wisdom. Our collective picks scored 117 points - and were better than 96.2% of the individual punditologists.
Every single subgroup (bloggers, professors, journalists, activists, electeds, etc.) did worse -- except one: As a group, political consultants scored 123 points - and were better than 98.9% of us (and, by the way, better than all but two individual political consultants.)
So maybe there is something to this "wisdom of the crowd" business...
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